In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · January 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -6.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money KENN -290 / MOST +235
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +10 170 Won
Massey KENN -4.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 153.3 (+16.7)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 41%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -3.7 (+6.3) 144.2 (+25.8) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -1.2 (+8.8) 143.8 (+26.2) 56%
Baseline ML KENN -1.6 (+8.4) 144.9 (+25.1) 52%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -1.6 (+8.4) 144.0 (+26.0) 52%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 KENN 9187 MOST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN MOST
Overall 21-14 16-18
Conference 10-10 8-12
Home 13-3 11-7
Away 4-8 3-10
Neutral 4-3 2-1
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 73.1
Avg Pts Against 78.2 74.3
Massey -1.4 (#193) -2.5 (#204)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#231) -0.07 (#180)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#237) -0.04 (#171)
RPI 0.445 (#270) 0.488 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN MOST
FG% 42.0% 42.9%
3PT% 29.0% 29.8%
REB / G 43.7 32.4
OREB / G 16.2 10.3
AST / TO 0.89 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 49.1%
TOV% 18.7% 17.1%
ORB% 38.5% 30.4%
FT Rate 29.8% 32.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 17.8%
DRB% 71.6% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 38.8% 27.5%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.