Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -600 FIU +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +1 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -10.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -12.2 (-11.2) | 150.9 (+28.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -10.9 (-9.9) | 149.1 (+29.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.0 (-10.0) | 149.8 (+29.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.5 (-10.5) | 149.8 (+29.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2025 | LIB 97 – 94 FIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIB 58 – 45 FIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIB 82 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FIU 76 – 71 LIB |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LIB 78 – 69 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#98) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#54) | -0.73 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#61) | -0.70 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#33) | 0.476 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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