Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +275 LIB -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -8.3 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.0 (+13.0) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.2 (+12.2) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.6 (+12.6) | 142.0 (+5.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -8.2 (+13.2) | 141.3 (+5.7) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIB 90 – 89 FIU |
| Dec 28, 2025 | LIB 97 – 94 FIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIB 58 – 45 FIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIB 82 – 59 FIU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LIB 78 – 69 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#296) | 4.0 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#302) | 0.55 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#288) | 0.77 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#323) | 0.527 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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