Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1800 FIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +13 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -17.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -14.3 (-1.3) | 136.9 (-33.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -15.1 (-2.1) | 136.0 (-33.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.5 (-2.5) | 136.5 (-33.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.3 (-3.3) | 135.8 (-32.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIB 90 – 89 FIU |
| Dec 28, 2025 | LIB 97 – 94 FIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LIB 82 – 59 FIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | FIU 76 – 71 LIB |
| Jan 19, 2024 | LIB 78 – 69 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-2 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#79) | -5.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#60) | -1.40 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#58) | -1.53 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#61) | 0.409 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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