Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -142 PAC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +17 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -1.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -0.7 (+16.3) | 139.5 (+17.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -1.3 (+15.7) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -0.7 (+16.3) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -0.3 (+16.7) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2025 | PAC 70 – 68 WSU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | PAC 95 – 94 WSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#127) | 4.1 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#165) | 0.52 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#149) | 0.84 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#205) | 0.525 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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