I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Arizona Wildcats
75 68
FINAL Conference
BYU Cougars
Big 12 Conference · McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · February 19, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -11.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money ARIZ -750 / BYU +525
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +7 143 Won
Massey ARIZ -10.3 (-3.3)
Massey Totals 166.5 (-23.5)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -13.5 (-6.5) 160.7 (-17.7) 86%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -11.5 (-4.5) 165.8 (-22.8) 83%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -12.1 (-5.1) 163.4 (-20.4) 85%
Baseline ML ARIZ -11.9 (-4.9) 164.8 (-21.8) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 27, 2026 ARIZ 8683 BYU
Feb 23, 2025 BYU 9695 ARIZ
Feb 5, 2025 ARIZ 8574 BYU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARIZ BYU
Overall 36-3 23-12
Conference 16-2 9-9
Home 16-1 14-3
Away 9-1 3-6
Neutral 11-1 6-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 86.2 83.5
Avg Pts Against 69.4 75.4
Massey 25.9 (#3) 18.6 (#20)
Bradley-Terry 4.77 (#2) 3.28 (#18)
W. Bradley-Terry 6.04 (#3) 4.08 (#20)
RPI 0.668 (#4) 0.628 (#19)
Shooting & Four Factors ARIZ BYU
FG% 50.8% 48.5%
3PT% 35.3% 35.8%
REB / G 43.8 39.5
OREB / G 13.3 12.4
AST / TO 1.56 1.37
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 55.7%
TOV% 15.6% 15.0%
ORB% 39.2% 34.8%
FT Rate 31.1% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.8% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 16.1%
DRB% 74.2% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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