Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | BYU +102 ARIZ -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +3 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -2.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -0.2 (-2.8) | 160.8 (+8.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BYU -0.2 (-3.2) | 157.7 (+11.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -1.4 (-1.6) | 159.0 (+10.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -0.7 (-2.3) | 157.0 (+12.0) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARIZ 75 – 68 BYU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BYU 96 – 95 ARIZ |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARIZ 85 – 74 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 36-3 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-6 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 11-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#14) | 25.8 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#9) | 6.30 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.07 (#9) | 8.68 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#8) | 0.679 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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