Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -155 ARIZ +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -1.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -0.9 (-11.9) | 155.6 (+3.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BYU -1.1 (-12.1) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BYU -0.5 (-11.5) | 154.6 (+4.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -0.8 (-11.8) | 156.6 (+2.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARIZ 75 – 68 BYU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | ARIZ 86 – 83 BYU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BYU 96 – 95 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#29) | 19.9 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#51) | 2.70 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#48) | 3.46 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#65) | 0.613 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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