Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–18 on winners spread MAE 8.8 62 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Florida Atlantic -1.6 158.9 44% 90–62 ✓
Radford @ High Point +5.6 139.1 75% 58–76 ✓
Army @ Colgate +4.5 144.9 76% 59–71 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +0.2 131.1 50% 46–60 ✓
Bucknell @ Lehigh +2.2 145.1 66% 64–66 ✓
American University @ Navy +1.7 142.9 60% 58–81 ✓
Northwestern @ Penn State +5.3 144.1 71% 80–84 ✓
Southern Miss @ James Madison +12.5 137.1 86% 72–83 ✓
South Alabama @ Georgia State -5.2 138.2 30% 77–51 ✓
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +7.3 149.2 76% 82–90 ✓
Texas State @ Marshall +0.2 139.9 57% 71–77 ✓
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 134.9 58% 71–68 ✗
Arkansas State @ Old Dominion -12.2 151.3 14% 78–59 ✓
Robert Morris @ Detroit Mercy -1.3 142.7 47% 76–78 ✗
Milwaukee @ Oakland -1.3 142.0 49% 49–65 ✗
Green Bay @ Wright State +9.6 147.4 85% 51–74 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T -7.3 148.4 31% 75–67 ✓
Hampton @ Charleston +8.4 146.4 79% 67–94 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +6.3 149.4 78% 74–56 ✗
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +8.0 133.4 76% 65–61 ✗
Delaware @ Northeastern +4.7 149.9 71% 77–80 ✓
Drexel @ Campbell -4.1 134.1 42% 54–57 ✗
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +4.1 138.0 62% 56–78 ✓
Stetson @ Queens University +8.3 151.7 83% 87–96 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama +13.7 148.7 87% 66–82 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -4.1 140.3 31% 70–65 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ West Georgia -7.1 136.4 25% 79–68 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International -3.0 145.9 35% 73–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Liberty +9.1 140.8 74% 71–70 ✗
Purdue @ Minnesota -5.7 136.3 20% 81–61 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +3.3 143.9 67% 74–68 ✗
Idaho State @ Northern Arizona +0.1 140.5 42% 72–67 ✗
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +7.0 148.4 77% 72–89 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -8.4 155.8 21% 98–89 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State +3.3 155.1 54% 89–85 ✗
South Dakota @ Kansas City +3.5 152.8 73% 54–68 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota +2.1 146.8 53% 95–85 ✗
Rutgers @ Indiana +5.7 153.7 76% 74–84 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Central Arkansas -6.1 148.3 28% 89–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +4.4 143.5 71% 64–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State -1.4 152.0 44% 67–65 ✓
Little Rock @ UT Martin +2.2 134.1 49% 57–56 ✗
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois +3.6 138.3 66% 74–78 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +24.7 157.1 91% 50–81 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho +0.6 145.5 52% 64–69 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington +0.8 148.8 55% 92–81 ✗
Denver @ South Dakota State +12.8 151.6 87% 70–91 ✓
Western Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +6.6 135.6 69% 66–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP +0.6 136.5 63% 60–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State -0.1 148.1 55% 71–75 ✗
Maryland @ Washington -7.9 142.3 35% 69–75 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.9 133.4 61% 64–75 ✓
Illinois @ Oregon +2.0 158.3 59% 109–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton -6.9 142.3 27% 95–65 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State -2.7 138.5 34% 76–60 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +15.0 138.3 88% 41–71 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -11.5 148.8 13% 81–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -12.8 141.0 14% 89–81 ✓
Oregon State @ Loyola Marymount -5.4 134.8 34% 61–82 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +1.3 132.6 57% 64–61 ✗
Fairfield @ Merrimack +7.9 135.2 78% 54–67 ✓
Akron @ Bowling Green -4.1 155.3 32% 71–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.