I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
44–17 on winners spread MAE 8.3 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rutgers @ Purdue +15.8 147.5 89% 68–96 ✓
SMU @ Florida Atlantic +6.4 152.5 79% 70–80 ✓
Radford @ Gardner-Webb +3.9 144.5 71% 90–74 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -9.1 141.0 17% 81–65 ✓
Monmouth @ Towson +7.3 133.0 78% 61–80 ✓
Hampton @ Campbell +8.4 146.4 80% 72–68 ✗
Elon @ Northeastern +6.6 142.0 78% 58–61 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +2.8 135.1 70% 57–69 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware -1.1 148.0 45% 90–71 ✓
Le Moyne @ Long Island University -4.7 145.6 30% 64–76 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +3.3 156.4 61% 91–99 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner -0.9 128.8 42% 73–72 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +11.6 133.1 86% 60–71 ✓
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -10.9 157.4 17% 93–78 ✓
Oakland @ Robert Morris -4.3 149.4 32% 63–43 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky +2.4 146.8 63% 73–75 ✓
App State @ Old Dominion -7.3 143.7 26% 82–67 ✓
NJIT @ New Hampshire +9.9 145.3 85% 78–83 ✓
Vermont @ UAlbany -6.9 144.6 25% 94–80 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson +6.1 156.0 73% 83–75 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.2 151.1 61% 74–67 ✗
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +6.3 152.7 73% 72–75 ✓
Liberty @ Florida International -8.0 138.8 30% 71–76 ✗
Ohio State @ Minnesota +1.3 142.6 60% 79–88 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State -7.3 146.7 21% 83–61 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +3.6 142.9 69% 83–64 ✗
Texas State @ Georgia Southern -1.0 138.2 48% 76–84 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha +1.7 150.1 65% 70–71 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota -3.5 148.1 34% 82–78 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota State +5.6 156.7 77% 70–97 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State -2.2 137.8 49% 50–64 ✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +5.9 152.8 74% 85–90 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +12.8 143.1 88% 59–70 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -4.0 143.7 35% 74–77 ✗
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian -1.5 135.3 44% 65–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +7.9 146.5 79% 62–76 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -6.9 147.8 24% 71–78 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech -2.9 134.3 32% 78–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Western Illinois -2.8 133.7 34% 78–57 ✓
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -9.1 148.9 18% 106–82 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +4.5 130.2 67% 73–78 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -7.2 144.0 26% 59–66 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State -1.4 151.4 45% 84–82 ✓
Michigan @ Northwestern +8.0 141.3 82% 62–76 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.2 155.0 13% 86–65 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State -0.5 157.4 51% 71–79 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP -4.0 138.1 37% 65–59 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State -3.2 139.6 34% 79–58 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +1.9 146.4 59% 67–72 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +9.9 132.0 84% 61–68 ✓
Oregon State @ California +5.0 145.2 75% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Seattle U +5.4 141.1 74% 49–69 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +0.3 143.6 48% 66–65 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +8.3 145.5 78% 66–79 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +10.7 131.6 85% 50–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -1.4 137.1 48% 77–65 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona +12.8 151.0 83% 77–74 ✗
Oregon @ Stanford +0.6 147.4 45% 78–65 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +9.2 142.5 82% 55–65 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +10.1 142.2 86% 69–81 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +6.6 135.3 78% 70–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.