Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -275 SFA +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +20 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -5.4 (+14.6) | 141.1 (-23.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.6 (+14.4) | 140.5 (-22.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -6.0 (+14.0) | 140.4 (-22.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.8 (+14.2) | 142.4 (-24.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2024 | SFA 89 – 84 SEA |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SFA 79 – 65 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SEA 70 – 62 SFA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -0.09 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#125) | 0.30 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#133) | 0.488 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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