Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -4.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.1 (+4.9) | 144.2 (-12.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.2 (+3.8) | 141.6 (-9.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.1 (+3.9) | 140.9 (-8.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.7 (+3.3) | 143.4 (-11.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | SEA 69 – 49 SFA |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SFA 89 – 84 SEA |
| Jan 28, 2023 | SFA 79 – 65 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 17-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#124) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#109) | 0.37 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#112) | 0.28 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#151) | 0.516 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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