Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | W&M +500 UNCW -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -10.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -9.1 (-6.9) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -9.9 (-6.1) | 140.4 (+5.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -9.6 (-6.4) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -9.4 (-6.6) | 141.2 (+4.8) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | W&M 85 – 78 UNCW |
| Jan 23, 2026 | W&M 77 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 24, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 70 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2025 | UNCW 85 – 74 W&M |
| Feb 4, 2023 | UNCW 70 – 63 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#317) | 4.2 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#336) | 1.07 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#332) | 1.33 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#348) | 0.558 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.