I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–9 on winners spread MAE 9.5 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Miami -2.6 145.3 35% 84–55 ✓
Florida @ Alabama +9.3 168.8 80% 93–98 ✓
Dayton @ George Mason -1.8 134.2 44% 67–71 ✗
Notre Dame @ Louisville -0.8 135.6 47% 72–50 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -7.2 143.0 27% 81–57 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati +10.0 139.7 84% 80–76 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Longwood +1.0 147.4 57% 75–80 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +4.9 140.1 71% 63–60 ✗
St. John's @ Georgetown -9.8 149.4 17% 90–85 ✓
Boston University @ American University +2.3 129.3 53% 67–52 ✗
Richmond @ Rhode Island -5.1 142.6 31% 85–77 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +8.9 158.5 84% 75–79 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -1.0 130.4 33% 69–62 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross -3.2 134.0 45% 59–73 ✗
The Citadel @ Mercer +3.8 133.5 75% 78–87 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +13.9 146.6 88% 69–82 ✓
Wofford @ Chattanooga +5.6 148.4 74% 65–81 ✓
James Madison @ Marshall -6.8 150.2 25% 84–58 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +8.2 153.7 83% 71–72 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State +6.0 130.6 68% 68–76 ✓
Furman @ Samford +8.8 157.7 81% 72–74 ✓
South Florida @ UTSA -7.3 151.9 21% 66–61 ✓
Rice @ UAB +10.4 148.5 85% 94–71 ✗
Charlotte @ Memphis +4.7 142.7 70% 52–76 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -14.8 152.7 14% 83–64 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +2.9 140.7 66% 79–88 ✓
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +5.4 135.7 75% 68–72 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State -3.0 145.4 43% 86–62 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State -2.3 131.5 40% 73–81 ✗
Belmont @ Drake +11.0 154.8 86% 69–84 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +4.2 148.2 72% 79–75 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana -1.8 148.7 43% 85–70 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt -4.4 143.6 32% 76–64 ✓
DePaul @ Marquette +21.6 148.2 91% 71–105 ✓
Kentucky @ LSU -2.3 163.4 41% 74–75 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +6.4 149.0 78% 63–79 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +6.8 144.1 77% 71–83 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico +5.6 145.1 73% 66–68 ✓
Pepperdine @ Pacific -8.1 146.0 20% 89–70 ✓
UNLV @ Air Force -6.9 134.7 24% 72–43 ✓
UMBC @ Maine +5.0 147.0 72% 56–62 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook +9.6 145.6 85% 64–80 ✓
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +11.7 144.3 84% 80–87 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +4.3 142.0 70% 65–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.