Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -275 CLT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +24 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -4.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -4.7 (+19.3) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -4.1 (+19.9) | 143.2 (-15.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -3.9 (+20.1) | 144.2 (-16.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -3.7 (+20.3) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MEM 77 – 54 CLT |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MEM 77 – 68 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#90) | 5.2 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#62) | 1.14 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#61) | 1.29 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#61) | 0.575 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.