Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +550 MEM -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -14.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -12.9 (+3.9) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -13.2 (+4.2) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -12.9 (+3.9) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -11.6 (+2.6) | 145.0 (+0.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | MEM 77 – 54 CLT |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MEM 76 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#264) | 12.5 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#271) | 3.32 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#266) | 3.95 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#268) | 0.683 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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