I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–8 on winners spread MAE 11.6 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Missouri -11.2 146.4 14% 72–67 ✓
Syracuse @ NC State +5.4 150.8 72% 87–83 ✗
Boston College @ Florida State +2.3 149.2 63% 76–84 ✓
UCF @ West Virginia -4.3 143.0 38% 67–77 ✗
Iowa @ Michigan State +8.5 146.5 74% 78–71 ✗
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +10.7 147.7 84% 78–71 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +7.5 138.2 79% 53–68 ✓
Saint Louis @ Duquesne +9.2 145.3 84% 66–81 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts +0.6 139.1 59% 52–74 ✓
Akron @ Toledo +1.0 144.1 47% 64–72 ✓
Kent State @ Ohio +0.1 147.7 54% 57–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan +0.4 137.5 55% 58–77 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +0.6 140.1 56% 60–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo +0.9 141.2 56% 69–78 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Morehead State +13.0 138.3 85% 80–73 ✗
Ball State @ Northern Illinois -0.7 142.8 48% 70–63 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +1.2 148.4 56% 66–85 ✓
Baylor @ BYU +2.4 155.1 70% 71–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +1.8 143.7 60% 63–68 ✓
TCU @ Texas Tech +3.4 147.3 66% 81–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest +4.7 142.7 66% 58–91 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin +6.5 131.9 76% 70–74 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +13.9 139.3 88% 50–82 ✓
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +8.8 131.6 78% 66–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada +12.7 142.6 88% 58–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Army -2.2 131.0 36% 85–54 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro +2.1 140.7 67% 65–71 ✓
Illinois @ Penn State -5.0 154.6 41% 89–90 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +9.6 146.6 85% 78–55 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -7.2 145.1 29% 59–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.