Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO -188 KENT +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.0 (+5.0) | 151.5 (-31.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -0.1 (+5.9) | 147.7 (-27.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -0.7 (+5.3) | 148.9 (-28.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -1.5 (+4.5) | 150.6 (-30.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | KENT 86 – 75 OHIO |
| Jan 28, 2026 | KENT 72 – 57 OHIO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | KENT 76 – 75 OHIO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | OHIO 61 – 59 KENT |
| Jan 26, 2024 | OHIO 71 – 64 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#168) | 0.5 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#214) | -0.34 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#210) | -0.36 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#240) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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