Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -350 MD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -7.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.9 (-2.9) | 134.1 (+9.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -6.5 (-2.5) | 131.9 (+12.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.3 (-2.3) | 134.3 (+9.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.2 (-2.2) | 134.2 (+9.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WIS 78 – 45 MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | MD 76 – 68 WIS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WIS 87 – 56 MD |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MD 73 – 55 WIS |
| Dec 7, 2022 | WIS 64 – 59 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#24) | 9.6 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#33) | 1.04 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#24) | 1.72 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#25) | 0.520 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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