Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -188 MD +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +31 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -3.4 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.8 (+28.2) | 132.0 (+11.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.9 (+28.1) | 131.2 (+11.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.4 (+27.6) | 132.5 (+10.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.7 (+28.3) | 133.5 (+9.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WIS 78 – 45 MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | MD 76 – 68 WIS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WIS 74 – 70 MD |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MD 73 – 55 WIS |
| Dec 7, 2022 | WIS 64 – 59 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#29) | 9.5 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#41) | 0.96 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#30) | 1.63 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#41) | 0.512 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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