Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -1350 MD +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +33 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -15.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -14.5 (+18.5) | 151.5 (-28.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.1 (+19.9) | 155.6 (-32.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -12.8 (+20.2) | 150.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -13.5 (+19.5) | 150.3 (-27.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2025 | MD 76 – 68 WIS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WIS 87 – 56 MD |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WIS 74 – 70 MD |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MD 73 – 55 WIS |
| Dec 7, 2022 | WIS 64 – 59 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#32) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#29) | 0.63 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#34) | 0.84 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#36) | 0.507 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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