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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 7.0 19 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Virginia @ Virginia Tech	+2.8	129.5	59%	41–75	✓
Lamar @ SE Louisiana	+0.8	144.4	59%	77–72	✗
South Carolina State @ Howard	+4.8	147.5	66%	75–68	✗
Morgan State @ Delaware State	+5.1	144.1	65%	58–80	✓
East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word	+1.2	146.8	55%	76–72	✗
Nicholls @ New Orleans	-3.7	152.1	33%	89–77	✓
William & Mary @ Charleston	+16.0	149.1	88%	57–65	✓
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore	+5.6	127.0	76%	67–75	✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	+10.0	136.4	84%	61–72	✓
Southern @ Texas Southern	-0.2	140.0	52%	56–68	✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State	+15.1	129.3	89%	46–61	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M	+2.9	154.7	72%	67–75	✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State	+8.4	139.1	80%	68–79	✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M	+1.1	133.8	46%	83–74	✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State	+5.2	141.6	77%	60–61	✓
Iowa State @ Houston	+8.0	129.0	79%	65–73	✓
Kansas State @ Texas	+7.2	141.5	79%	56–62	✓
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State	+3.6	135.3	73%	74–80	✓
Butler @ Villanova	+6.1	142.8	75%	62–72	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.