Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -450 ISU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -7.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -8.0 (+0.0) | 129.0 (+9.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.2 (+1.8) | 132.4 (+5.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -6.7 (+1.3) | 133.4 (+4.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.0 (+2.0) | 133.4 (+4.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | ISU 70 – 67 HOU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOU 68 – 59 ISU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ISU 69 – 41 HOU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | ISU 57 – 53 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-0 | 18-0 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 23.5 (#2) | 19.5 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#3) | 2.74 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.30 (#3) | 3.15 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#2) | 0.614 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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