Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | ISU +118 HOU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +4 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -0.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.8 (+3.2) | 127.0 (-17.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -0.2 (+4.2) | 131.0 (-21.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -0.4 (+3.6) | 132.5 (-22.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -1.8 (+5.8) | 132.3 (-22.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | ISU 70 – 67 HOU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOU 68 – 59 ISU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ISU 69 – 41 HOU |
| Feb 20, 2024 | HOU 73 – 65 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 32-5 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 18-0 | 17-0 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 57.6 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#6) | 24.3 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#81) | 4.60 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#82) | 6.43 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#121) | 0.652 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 15.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 41.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 27.9% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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