Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +225 SBU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -8.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -7.3 (+20.3) | 148.0 (-17.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.2 (+20.2) | 145.1 (-14.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -6.4 (+19.4) | 147.5 (-16.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -7.0 (+20.0) | 148.2 (-17.2) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SBU 99 – 80 LAS |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAS 78 – 74 SBU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LAS 83 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SBU 75 – 73 LAS |
| Feb 9, 2023 | LAS 76 – 70 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#227) | 7.9 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 1.03 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#222) | 1.22 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#241) | 0.556 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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