Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +260 SBU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +19 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -4.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+33.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -3.1 (-15.9) | 143.3 (+35.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -3.8 (-15.2) | 140.6 (+38.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -3.4 (-15.6) | 142.6 (+36.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -3.1 (-15.9) | 143.8 (+35.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAS 78 – 74 SBU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LAS 83 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SBU 75 – 73 LAS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LAS 72 – 59 SBU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | LAS 76 – 70 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#223) | 1.2 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#235) | -0.08 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#231) | 0.06 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#228) | 0.508 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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