Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -250 LAS +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -8.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.7 (-13.7) | 136.3 (+9.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -5.3 (-11.3) | 134.8 (+11.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -5.2 (-11.2) | 134.6 (+11.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -5.5 (-11.5) | 135.8 (+10.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SBU 99 – 80 LAS |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAS 78 – 74 SBU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LAS 83 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SBU 75 – 73 LAS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LAS 72 – 59 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#160) | -4.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#159) | -0.50 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#159) | -0.95 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#136) | 0.483 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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