Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -138 KENN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -3.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -2.2 (-9.2) | 151.1 (-10.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.1 (-10.1) | 151.2 (-10.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.3 (-10.3) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -3.6 (-10.6) | 153.6 (-12.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | KENN 102 – 100 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KENN 78 – 75 FGCU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | KENN 65 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 17, 2022 | FGCU 82 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 13, 2022 | KENN 77 – 53 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#258) | -5.2 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#273) | -0.74 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#262) | -0.77 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#294) | 0.443 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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