Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -115 KENN -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +2 | 202 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -7.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 182.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -12.4 (-14.4) | 168.7 (+33.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -5.4 (-7.4) | 160.4 (+41.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -8.7 (-10.7) | 161.1 (+40.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -9.6 (-11.6) | 167.1 (+34.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2024 | KENN 74 – 67 FGCU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | KENN 78 – 75 FGCU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | KENN 65 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 17, 2022 | FGCU 82 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 13, 2022 | KENN 77 – 53 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | -3.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#191) | -1.50 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#130) | -2.31 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#194) | 0.358 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 46.0% |
Game Analysis
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