You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Atlantic Sun Conference · Alico Arena · January 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread FGCU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money FGCU -138 / KENN +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total FGCU win
Actual KENN +2 128 Lost
Massey FGCU -4.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 140.8 (-12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FGCU -3.0 (-5.0) 141.1 (-13.1) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FGCU -3.1 (-5.1) 139.9 (-11.9) 63% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FGCU -2.7 (-4.7) 142.7 (-14.7) 65% ✗
Baseline ML FGCU -2.3 (-4.3) 143.3 (-15.3) 62% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2025 KENN 102 – 100 FGCU
Feb 23, 2024 KENN 74 – 67 FGCU
Jan 13, 2024 KENN 78 – 75 FGCU
Feb 17, 2022 FGCU 82 – 76 KENN
Jan 13, 2022 KENN 77 – 53 FGCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FGCU KENN
Overall 17-15 26-9
Conference 7-11 15-3
Home 8-5 15-1
Away 6-9 10-6
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 73.5
Avg Pts Against 69.7 70.9
Massey 1.1 (#147) 0.2 (#168)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#93) 0.97 (#92)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.10 (#101) 0.72 (#121)
RPI 0.559 (#79) 0.558 (#80)
Shooting & Four Factors FGCU KENN
FG% 42.3% 45.9%
3PT% 33.5% 39.5%
REB / G 36.3 33.2
OREB / G 10.6 9.1
AST / TO 0.97 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 53.2%
TOV% 19.2% 19.0%
ORB% 30.3% 26.7%
FT Rate 22.7% 22.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 20.9%
DRB% 70.8% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 26.5%

Game Analysis

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