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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–12 on winners spread MAE 12.1 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee +22.6 129.9 90% 49–103 ✓
Iona @ Rider +2.1 137.7 54% 70–56 ✗
Davidson @ Rhode Island +4.1 133.6 55% 67–58 ✗
Northwestern State @ Tulsa +10.3 148.4 80% 55–82 ✓
Western Carolina @ Charleston -1.2 150.7 38% 76–70 ✓
Belmont @ Tennessee State — — — 88–63 —
Chicago State @ Northern Illinois +8.0 132.0 80% 54–64 ✓
Florida A&M @ Georgia Tech +10.4 149.2 85% 64–74 ✓
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State — — — 69–67 —
Iowa State @ West Virginia +16.6 145.0 89% 65–70 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Utah State +4.2 140.3 77% 50–63 ✓
Idaho @ Utah +8.1 133.2 81% 41–79 ✓
Montana State @ Washington State +2.6 143.1 66% 54–82 ✓
Air Force @ Nevada +8.9 128.1 82% 57–74 ✓
Weber State @ Portland State — — — 94–66 —
Butler @ Indiana +10.4 135.7 85% 60–68 ✓
Iowa @ Gonzaga -1.6 171.7 53% 88–99 ✗
Louisville @ Wisconsin +2.6 131.4 57% 48–85 ✓
Troy @ Auburn +8.5 136.6 78% 41–77 ✓
The Citadel @ Longwood — — — 91–89 —
UNC Greensboro @ Elon +4.4 130.7 60% 71–64 ✗
James Madison @ East Carolina +9.4 136.9 83% 64–73 ✓
Ball State @ Indiana State +3.0 144.5 64% 57–67 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky -5.9 134.6 27% 75–63 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Alabama +7.3 148.7 76% 73–71 ✗
Marist @ Manhattan -0.8 135.5 49% 61–39 ✓
Hofstra @ St. Bonaventure — — — 69–77 —
Drexel @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.0 139.9 33% 85–68 ✓
Grambling @ Tulane +5.3 129.1 70% 65–77 ✓
High Point @ William & Mary +6.5 150.6 67% 71–49 ✗
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -9.4 144.9 21% 68–65 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky — — — 64–79 —
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -1.2 143.3 44% 93–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Toledo +9.0 140.9 78% 57–71 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton +2.7 137.1 55% 73–59 ✗
Maine @ Hartford — — — 60–63 —
Lamar @ Louisiana Tech +10.1 137.0 84% 57–86 ✓
Texas State @ Denver -4.5 131.0 27% 70–68 ✓
Notre Dame @ Purdue +7.6 136.5 80% 78–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Dayton -2.5 131.1 44% 62–65 ✗
Portland @ Oregon +15.9 153.8 89% 41–80 ✓
Rice @ Sam Houston -5.0 147.6 31% 69–82 ✗
South Alabama @ Alabama A&M — — — 90–93 —
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +3.7 128.7 59% 47–60 ✓
Chattanooga @ UAB +9.5 141.6 72% 69–66 ✗
Jacksonville @ Miami +6.0 135.2 79% 64–73 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -12.2 149.8 17% 100–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charlotte +10.8 134.3 84% 72–76 ✓
Furman @ Winthrop +5.1 152.6 76% 71–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Niagara +8.4 132.3 82% 61–81 ✓
Campbell @ NC State +15.9 144.7 89% 50–69 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany — — — 65–64 —
NJIT @ Temple — — — 60–72 —
Delaware @ La Salle +2.3 124.8 54% 61–71 ✓
Samford @ Kennesaw State -4.1 140.8 33% 65–63 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State -0.3 139.3 50% 70–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ California +1.4 133.4 58% 56–87 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Monmouth -1.3 145.3 44% 78–76 ✓
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma +21.5 154.4 90% 65–84 ✓
Coppin State @ Virginia Tech +17.4 142.0 89% 57–97 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Pepperdine +3.8 146.6 63% 75–63 ✗
Buffalo @ Syracuse +10.3 147.9 84% 96–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -11.8 139.6 19% 80–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.