But spirit is something that no one destroys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
40–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Alabama +23.1 158.2 90% 64–84 ✓
Elon @ Indiana +22.0 144.6 90% 72–96 ✓
Marquette @ Providence +0.8 153.4 53% 98–103 ✓
The Citadel @ North Carolina Central +10.4 143.8 85% 74–81 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Temple +11.0 135.8 87% 86–78 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Kennesaw State +10.5 141.8 86% 56–65 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.2 146.8 76% 59–83 ✓
Alcorn State @ Dayton +11.4 131.5 83% 46–88 ✓
Army @ Central Connecticut +2.8 141.1 58% 66–55 ✗
Dartmouth @ Massachusetts +12.0 137.5 87% 57–68 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Little Rock +1.4 157.0 54% 66–75 ✓
Queens University @ Nebraska +6.9 140.2 72% 65–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Baylor +17.4 157.1 90% 48–58 ✓
Idaho State @ Grand Canyon +12.5 133.8 86% 66–68 ✓
Pacific @ Lamar -7.3 149.3 22% 74–65 ✓
Air Force @ Northern Colorado +1.9 146.1 60% 67–65 ✗
Montana State @ Arizona +18.0 156.2 88% 64–85 ✓
Virginia @ Miami +0.6 138.9 55% 64–66 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +10.3 146.1 84% 70–73 ✓
Montana @ Gonzaga +14.2 147.7 88% 75–85 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ New Mexico +15.1 145.5 89% 63–94 ✓
Lindenwood @ BYU +13.5 149.2 87% 61–90 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse +1.0 140.6 55% 84–82 ✗
UIC @ Northwestern +14.1 130.7 87% 54–92 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma -1.9 140.2 43% 53–62 ✗
Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield -0.2 123.7 46% 56–48 ✓
Cal Poly @ San José State +5.7 130.4 71% 43–65 ✓
San Diego @ UC Riverside +6.8 149.8 75% 92–84 ✗
Harvard @ UC Irvine +11.8 138.4 87% 62–57 ✗
Utah Valley @ Oregon +9.7 139.2 79% 77–72 ✗
UC San Diego @ San Diego State +18.7 136.8 90% 46–62 ✓
James Madison @ Coppin State -9.5 164.4 19% 100–107 ✗
Stonehill @ Valparaiso +2.8 144.5 60% 67–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Davidson +10.1 141.2 83% 73–70 ✗
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +10.3 148.8 85% 68–78 ✓
Jacksonville State @ South Alabama +10.6 141.8 86% 66–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell -1.0 133.2 42% 74–66 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Howard -0.2 134.6 50% 62–63 ✗
Lafayette @ La Salle +3.5 132.9 60% 90–65 ✗
Winthrop @ Duquesne +9.1 152.8 82% 57–74 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas Tech +25.4 153.9 91% 67–111 ✓
Radford @ Kansas State +16.0 141.7 88% 65–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ Georgia +5.7 141.3 72% 65–72 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa +22.9 149.9 91% 92–83 ✗
Boston University @ UMass Lowell +12.5 144.9 86% 60–68 ✓
George Mason @ Old Dominion +4.9 132.5 69% 77–78 ✓
UC Davis @ UCLA +19.9 150.2 91% 54–81 ✓
Norfolk State @ Nevada +11.8 140.8 86% 66–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee +24.6 128.4 91% 44–86 ✓
High Point @ East Carolina +3.4 154.2 64% 49–60 ✓
App State @ UC Santa Barbara +4.0 134.8 69% 50–61 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -10.4 135.2 17% 65–70 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +1.4 148.9 55% 63–78 ✓
Oakland @ Michigan State +17.6 148.2 90% 54–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.