Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–12 on winners spread MAE 12.4 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware @ Rider +2.5 143.2 61% 60–59 ✗
Maine @ Akron +4.6 135.9 68% 55–87 ✓
Holy Cross @ New Hampshire +7.3 130.1 76% 60–78 ✓
Hofstra @ South Florida +2.1 136.8 54% 70–77 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.6 141.1 78% 68–85 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Siena +2.4 135.5 60% 70–76 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Joseph's +5.2 149.8 69% 59–77 ✓
Manhattan @ Marist +8.8 133.2 80% 80–69 ✗
Grambling @ Liberty +7.4 131.5 75% 56–75 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois +3.8 148.9 67% 60–79 ✓
Charleston @ Coastal Carolina -5.7 144.7 25% 83–69 ✓
Chicago State @ Illinois State +3.4 140.7 65% 52–66 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas State +9.4 131.5 80% 65–72 ✓
Stonehill @ Bradley +16.0 135.0 88% 50–79 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas +9.4 147.3 83% 62–75 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +11.3 153.1 87% 40–79 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City +4.3 135.0 67% 45–62 ✓
Denver @ Omaha -0.5 150.9 50% 66–83 ✗
Weber State @ Utah State +16.7 149.0 90% 75–72 ✗
UT Arlington @ San Francisco +11.9 137.8 87% 68–63 ✗
Idaho @ Cal State Northridge -0.0 135.1 45% 76–73 ✓
Jacksonville @ UL Monroe -6.1 132.5 22% 66–55 ✓
South Carolina State @ Longwood +13.1 146.7 88% 77–104 ✓
Toledo @ Vermont +2.8 151.3 66% 84–72 ✗
UAlbany @ Northern Illinois +5.3 146.7 68% 83–78 ✗
Wofford @ Texas A&M +11.7 149.8 84% 67–62 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Oklahoma State +14.1 140.5 88% 58–81 ✓
North Alabama @ Ole Miss +15.5 143.6 88% 66–65 ✗
East Texas A&M @ IU Indianapolis -12.2 136.6 14% 52–62 ✗
Mississippi State @ Drake -8.7 130.2 21% 52–58 ✗
Lehigh @ Cornell +11.9 151.8 87% 64–96 ✓
Wagner @ Delaware State -1.8 134.3 39% 58–51 ✓
Lipscomb @ Louisville -4.1 140.2 31% 75–67 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +22.0 150.8 91% 73–84 ✓
Duke @ Wake Forest -5.2 141.1 31% 70–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.