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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 5.6
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston Christian
@
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
+8.2 | 160.8 | 80% | 90–100 | ✓ |
San Diego
@
Arizona State
|
+14.3 | 145.6 | 88% | 67–91 | ✓ |
Colorado State
@
Saint Mary's
|
+12.8 | 135.3 | 87% | 62–60 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
Baylor
|
+4.5 | 145.5 | 69% | 59–65 | ✓ |
Southern Indiana
@
IU Indianapolis
|
-12.8 | 143.0 | 14% | 87–74 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.