See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–17 on winners spread MAE 8.3 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rutgers @ Purdue +15.1 140.3 89% 68–96 ✓
SMU @ Florida Atlantic +4.8 153.2 74% 70–80 ✓
Radford @ Gardner-Webb +5.0 144.7 72% 90–74 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -9.6 141.3 17% 81–65 ✓
Monmouth @ Towson +4.0 133.8 66% 61–80 ✓
Hampton @ Campbell +8.5 147.4 78% 72–68 ✗
Elon @ Northeastern +5.9 144.4 77% 58–61 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +3.9 135.4 72% 57–69 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware +1.0 148.4 53% 90–71 ✗
Le Moyne @ Long Island University -3.3 145.6 40% 64–76 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +3.9 152.8 66% 91–99 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner -0.5 128.3 48% 73–72 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +12.1 133.5 86% 60–71 ✓
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -12.2 161.3 14% 93–78 ✓
Oakland @ Robert Morris -7.1 151.9 22% 63–43 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky +2.4 148.4 60% 73–75 ✓
App State @ Old Dominion -8.4 142.1 22% 82–67 ✓
NJIT @ New Hampshire +9.5 140.7 86% 78–83 ✓
Vermont @ UAlbany -5.4 143.5 24% 94–80 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson +6.2 155.7 76% 83–75 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.3 152.7 64% 74–67 ✗
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +4.5 153.9 72% 72–75 ✓
Liberty @ Florida International -7.6 142.0 27% 71–76 ✗
Ohio State @ Minnesota +2.9 143.3 68% 79–88 ✓
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State -8.1 146.2 18% 83–61 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +3.7 140.3 69% 83–64 ✗
Texas State @ Georgia Southern -1.2 138.4 48% 76–84 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha +2.8 151.7 66% 70–71 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota -2.4 148.0 41% 82–78 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota State +4.8 158.8 75% 70–97 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State -1.9 142.7 47% 50–64 ✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +6.8 151.2 77% 85–90 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +12.0 143.1 88% 59–70 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -3.6 144.7 37% 74–77 ✗
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian -0.2 135.5 49% 65–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +6.8 149.3 75% 62–76 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -6.4 152.4 28% 71–78 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech -2.3 135.5 41% 78–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Western Illinois -1.6 131.0 35% 78–57 ✓
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -9.2 147.2 17% 106–82 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +3.7 132.2 65% 73–78 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -6.8 144.3 29% 59–66 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State -1.7 151.6 44% 84–82 ✓
Michigan @ Northwestern +7.9 144.9 82% 62–76 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -18.1 156.0 13% 86–65 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State +0.9 155.8 56% 71–79 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UTEP -4.9 138.3 28% 65–59 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State -1.2 139.1 40% 79–58 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +1.3 144.9 57% 67–72 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +11.7 137.6 88% 61–68 ✓
Oregon State @ California +5.8 142.4 77% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Seattle U +6.0 140.4 73% 49–69 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +1.0 144.2 59% 66–65 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +7.7 146.6 81% 66–79 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton +8.9 133.1 78% 50–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Riverside -2.4 141.6 43% 77–65 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona +12.1 154.0 83% 77–74 ✗
Oregon @ Stanford +0.6 147.8 51% 78–65 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +8.3 145.8 85% 55–65 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine +11.4 142.2 86% 69–81 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +7.5 136.4 77% 70–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.