The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–18 on winners spread MAE 9.6 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ UConn +17.2 146.4 89% 91–84 ✗
Arkansas @ Alabama +2.5 176.5 56% 115–117 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State -6.2 134.3 21% 81–60 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -0.4 141.8 46% 72–79 ✗
American University @ Bucknell -2.8 142.4 38% 75–57 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +4.0 142.4 70% 71–65 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Fordham +10.6 132.7 86% 59–62 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +11.1 142.5 84% 61–62 ✓
Dayton @ George Mason +3.7 135.7 69% 82–67 ✗
Richmond @ Davidson +4.6 141.9 69% 63–65 ✓
Wichita State @ East Carolina -8.6 144.6 21% 92–89 ✓
UAB @ Temple +0.5 143.4 50% 76–71 ✗
Clemson @ Wake Forest -2.6 139.8 40% 77–85 ✗
Army @ Loyola Maryland +4.0 146.2 72% 87–77 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +11.8 143.6 85% 49–72 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +4.9 149.5 74% 71–87 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina +3.7 155.4 70% 77–91 ✓
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina +1.6 142.4 64% 67–65 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas A&M +12.1 155.0 84% 77–80 ✓
Oklahoma @ Tennessee +12.4 150.9 87% 66–89 ✓
West Georgia @ Eastern Kentucky +3.8 153.6 67% 80–81 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 142.7 74% 84–86 ✓
Queens University @ North Alabama -6.6 155.0 33% 85–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Delaware -2.6 139.2 33% 88–87 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake -1.3 147.1 46% 66–61 ✓
Troy @ UL Monroe -12.4 156.1 16% 77–76 ✓
Lipscomb @ Bellarmine -1.1 157.1 44% 75–72 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston +6.5 151.2 75% 70–78 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Louisiana Tech +0.6 132.3 52% 71–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -2.8 138.7 37% 72–85 ✗
UIC @ Evansville -8.7 138.9 22% 84–46 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -12.2 153.0 16% 60–52 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulsa +12.5 150.7 87% 74–79 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern +7.7 140.7 76% 74–78 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +9.1 130.8 79% 69–57 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha +9.8 148.3 81% 71–80 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State -0.5 147.2 39% 74–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Missouri State +1.2 153.3 58% 91–87 ✗
Utah @ West Virginia +8.5 132.4 81% 61–56 ✗
BYU @ Arizona +13.5 160.7 86% 68–75 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -5.1 152.2 29% 81–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -13.3 143.8 13% 94–68 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette -9.2 152.3 19% 76–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Missouri -7.1 153.1 29% 80–81 ✗
Murray State @ Illinois State +4.6 152.1 70% 61–78 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Seattle U -7.7 133.6 18% 72–70 ✓
Auburn @ Mississippi State -5.5 157.5 34% 85–91 ✗
Pacific @ Washington State +0.3 139.8 53% 70–87 ✓
Illinois @ USC -7.5 150.5 26% 101–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +6.9 145.7 77% 95–87 ✗
Boise State @ Utah State +10.4 154.7 85% 56–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -12.2 151.3 14% 80–59 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV +0.7 143.6 49% 91–86 ✗
Vermont @ UMBC +1.0 140.7 58% 62–75 ✓
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +2.8 146.7 66% 56–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Bryant +5.3 135.0 71% 79–67 ✗
Florida International @ Liberty +11.5 149.8 84% 89–90 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +12.8 154.4 86% 64–68 ✓
Marshall @ App State +2.5 137.1 62% 94–93 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.