This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
17–13 on winners spread MAE 11.0 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina @ Florida +21.9 152.4 91% 62–76 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +2.3 157.1 55% 58–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island -12.9 147.9 17% 76–81 ✗
Louisville @ SMU -2.5 163.0 38% 85–95 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts -7.2 160.6 24% 86–77 ✓
TCU @ UCF +2.1 152.3 60% 71–82 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +4.8 151.1 68% 78–71 ✗
Ball State @ Ohio +8.6 141.5 80% 57–69 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -11.9 157.3 18% 90–73 ✓
George Washington @ VCU +7.5 156.6 80% 75–89 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami +8.1 150.9 81% 66–67 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +9.6 140.6 80% 59–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +1.0 157.6 54% 69–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +5.5 144.6 72% 82–92 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +4.5 133.9 69% 56–53 ✗
Nebraska @ Iowa +0.2 136.1 57% 52–57 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -4.1 158.1 37% 74–90 ✗
Air Force @ New Mexico +29.9 144.2 91% 61–98 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +4.1 162.8 68% 86–78 ✗
LSU @ Texas +9.4 154.4 79% 85–88 ✓
Nevada @ San José State -11.3 141.3 19% 71–87 ✗
Grand Canyon @ San Diego State +7.3 141.2 79% 73–63 ✗
Minnesota @ Oregon +1.1 135.2 62% 61–44 ✗
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -7.9 150.1 22% 67–72 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +5.4 148.5 74% 85–72 ✗
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +2.3 134.4 63% 86–83 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +12.6 152.1 86% 76–82 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown +2.2 148.2 63% 93–89 ✗
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +10.8 153.6 85% 82–106 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman -0.3 142.6 44% 78–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.