You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–7 on winners spread MAE 7.1 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Syracuse @ Duke +19.5 142.6 90% 64–101 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +9.0 139.3 84% 65–83 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State -11.7 131.0 16% 91–59 ✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central +3.1 142.3 69% 76–80 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State +15.3 140.0 89% 55–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Jackson State -6.0 149.6 29% 86–91 ✗
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M -1.7 143.3 49% 63–68 ✗
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -1.5 131.6 39% 70–66 ✓
South Alabama @ Marshall +3.5 147.6 63% 80–84 ✓
Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley +6.0 138.6 76% 65–70 ✓
New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +0.8 149.8 58% 78–64 ✗
McNeese @ Northwestern State -14.4 136.0 15% 75–64 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +3.6 135.4 64% 62–65 ✓
Florida A&M @ Alcorn State +0.9 139.3 52% 86–78 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama A&M +2.2 143.0 64% 70–82 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern -0.8 155.7 45% 73–74 ✗
Drexel @ Stony Brook +3.1 133.4 64% 69–72 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -4.4 135.5 31% 78–68 ✓
Nicholls @ Houston Christian -0.2 137.6 49% 68–72 ✗
Houston @ Iowa State +4.7 134.7 67% 67–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charleston Southern +15.6 155.5 89% 66–75 ✓
Boston College @ Florida State +9.1 142.6 80% 72–80 ✓
Michigan @ Purdue -2.4 151.3 48% 91–80 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier -5.8 149.2 25% 92–89 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Buffalo +11.9 141.7 85% 72–70 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +2.4 142.9 58% 54–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.