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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.7
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-0.0 | 133.6 | 46% | 71–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.7 | 136.1 | 71% | 50–60 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 134.7 | 51% | 53–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 141.3 | 76% | 59–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.8 | 136.8 | 71% | 72–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 150.8 | 47% | 58–85 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.