Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -166 DREX +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -3.1 (-0.1) | 133.4 (+7.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -1.9 (+1.1) | 133.2 (+7.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -3.0 (+0.0) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -2.9 (+0.1) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | DREX 56 – 37 STBK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | DREX 67 – 51 STBK |
| Mar 10, 2024 | STBK 91 – 88 DREX |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DREX 90 – 86 STBK |
| Jan 13, 2023 | STBK 67 – 66 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | -3.9 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#179) | -0.59 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#186) | -0.78 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.474 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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