Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -450 STBK +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +4 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -9.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -7.8 (-3.8) | 141.4 (+34.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -6.7 (-2.7) | 140.2 (+35.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.9 (-3.9) | 141.6 (+34.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -7.7 (-3.7) | 142.6 (+33.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | STBK 72 – 69 DREX |
| Jan 9, 2026 | DREX 56 – 37 STBK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | DREX 67 – 51 STBK |
| Mar 10, 2024 | STBK 91 – 88 DREX |
| Jan 13, 2023 | STBK 67 – 66 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#123) | -3.0 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#137) | -0.11 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | -0.02 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.498 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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