The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–12 on winners spread MAE 8.2 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ South Florida +7.9 155.8 80% 66–87 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +12.5 148.5 88% 48–74 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian +1.7 139.1 56% 65–72 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Radford +15.8 155.7 88% 70–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +13.3 160.2 87% 73–85 ✓
Wagner @ Mercyhurst +5.1 136.4 71% 83–80 ✗
Stonehill @ New Haven +2.6 124.5 62% 51–64 ✓
Long Island University @ Saint Francis -10.7 143.6 16% 91–89 ✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut +3.1 141.8 67% 77–78 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Chicago State -0.6 134.9 47% 60–59 ✓
UAlbany @ NJIT +4.0 140.8 72% 81–63 ✗
Monmouth @ UNC Wilmington +9.3 140.0 80% 69–79 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern -1.1 142.0 45% 70–61 ✓
William & Mary @ Campbell -1.3 159.3 47% 83–84 ✗
Charleston @ North Carolina A&T -3.3 144.5 35% 74–61 ✓
Samford @ The Citadel -7.4 140.5 26% 78–75 ✓
Chattanooga @ Mercer +12.0 148.1 86% 94–90 ✗
Austin Peay @ North Florida -12.1 156.4 15% 77–76 ✓
Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman +4.2 145.2 63% 71–82 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +10.3 148.8 83% 70–85 ✓
Hampton @ Hofstra +12.1 134.5 87% 43–79 ✓
Texas State @ South Alabama +5.2 140.8 67% 90–82 ✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana -6.5 142.7 25% 79–62 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +0.6 150.1 51% 64–66 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Stetson -8.4 147.5 23% 88–76 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +5.7 141.3 73% 46–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Arlington +2.2 140.4 58% 50–63 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +6.5 144.2 77% 74–78 ✓
UT Martin @ Little Rock -5.1 131.1 29% 65–67 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois -3.1 136.9 40% 77–70 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee State +3.1 156.4 68% 80–89 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -0.4 136.5 43% 73–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -11.0 151.8 15% 72–62 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech -2.4 135.3 38% 52–62 ✗
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +1.6 152.9 66% 83–64 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +3.8 158.6 67% 85–83 ✗
South Dakota @ Denver +5.0 161.7 72% 70–90 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +0.2 149.3 55% 79–82 ✓
Montana @ Idaho State -0.2 144.9 43% 69–73 ✗
Idaho @ Portland State +4.9 145.2 74% 67–77 ✓
Tulane @ North Texas +5.2 137.0 70% 77–71 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M -1.0 139.8 45% 63–61 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +5.2 147.6 73% 65–93 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton +0.3 152.2 50% 92–93 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -5.1 145.0 30% 69–58 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -0.6 159.3 51% 102–94 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +12.6 155.7 87% 86–75 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -14.5 141.4 16% 78–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.