Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–14 on winners spread MAE 10.3 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UAlbany @ Kentucky +26.0 131.1 99% 61–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Eastern Kentucky +18.8 141.2 96% 43–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Northern Kentucky -3.7 144.4 37% 69–67 ✓
Troy @ Florida Atlantic +8.8 153.3 79% 83–78 ✗
Lafayette @ Rutgers +22.8 136.1 98% 53–51 ✗
South Dakota State @ Nevada -8.3 161.0 23% 102–75 ✓
Hofstra @ Richmond +6.7 152.4 73% 68–81 ✓
Coppin State @ Cleveland State +14.5 131.7 91% 62–65 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +25.3 153.6 99% 70–85 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia +1.3 132.0 55% 65–55 ✗
Harvard @ Siena -16.4 144.9 7% 69–72 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio +22.1 138.3 98% 59–73 ✓
Delaware @ App State -1.3 145.2 45% 75–68 ✓
UCLA @ Bellarmine -21.6 158.4 2% 75–62 ✓
Colorado State @ Northeastern -2.1 137.4 42% 71–61 ✓
Charleston @ Oklahoma State +18.1 151.1 95% 66–96 ✓
Belmont @ LSU +16.8 153.8 94% 53–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northern Arizona +13.0 154.7 88% 82–80 ✗
Long Beach State @ Missouri State +5.7 164.2 70% 66–92 ✓
Tarleton State @ North Dakota State +5.9 121.2 70% 53–54 ✓
Florida @ California -12.6 134.8 13% 80–60 ✓
Florida State @ Missouri -11.8 129.0 14% 81–58 ✓
Western Michigan @ Iowa +34.5 161.8 100% 61–109 ✓
The Citadel @ Duke +15.3 148.3 92% 81–107 ✓
Arkansas @ Kansas State -1.7 151.1 44% 72–64 ✓
Winthrop @ Washington State +26.9 160.7 99% 86–92 ✓
UC Riverside @ UTEP +14.4 139.2 90% 52–40 ✗
Kansas City @ Idaho State -4.1 125.3 35% 74–58 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon -4.5 129.1 34% 68–61 ✓
Morgan State @ San Francisco +17.6 151.3 95% 67–83 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Valparaiso -14.0 123.5 10% 70–78 ✗
George Mason @ Washington -15.5 141.9 8% 74–77 ✗
Providence @ Northwestern -0.1 146.7 50% 77–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Seattle U +15.4 153.0 92% 56–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Pacific +7.4 127.3 75% 58–74 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU -3.2 148.4 38% 85–66 ✓
Gonzaga @ Central Michigan -23.6 150.6 2% 107–54 ✓
Utah Tech @ USC +31.8 155.2 100% 71–98 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Notre Dame -1.6 129.3 44% 62–59 ✓
Fresno State @ Pepperdine -2.3 136.1 42% 70–63 ✓
Vermont @ Evansville -10.6 124.0 17% 58–49 ✓
Wright State @ James Madison +9.5 143.2 81% 76–78 ✓
Southern Utah @ Yale +9.5 132.6 81% 88–85 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Rider -4.0 133.5 36% 60–54 ✓
App State @ Akron +1.2 115.1 54% 57–45 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Towson +12.6 146.0 87% 61–76 ✓
Texas A&M @ Butler -6.8 126.0 27% 57–50 ✓
Drexel @ Charlotte +1.2 153.0 54% 67–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ Murray State +5.5 150.0 69% 43–80 ✓
Milwaukee @ Bowling Green -3.4 137.6 38% 68–82 ✗
Bucknell @ Mercer +4.8 150.2 67% 68–78 ✓
Quinnipiac @ New Hampshire +17.4 139.7 94% 69–84 ✓
Wisconsin @ Houston +3.5 118.1 63% 65–63 ✗
Georgia @ Northwestern +9.3 143.5 80% 62–78 ✓
Oakland @ Rice -6.8 142.0 27% 76–73 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Liberty +6.3 132.0 72% 51–59 ✓
Tulane @ Toledo +3.9 154.5 64% 67–68 ✓
George Washington @ Kent State +5.1 137.6 68% 69–77 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Buffalo +9.6 163.2 81% 79–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.