Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | RUTG -2400 LAF +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +2 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -24.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -20.0 (-22.0) | 134.4 (-30.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -16.7 (-18.7) | 139.1 (-35.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -19.1 (-21.1) | 138.2 (-34.2) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -19.5 (-21.5) | 138.8 (-34.8) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#126) | -13.5 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#116) | -1.91 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#149) | -2.77 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#110) | 0.418 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 9.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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