Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | WSU -1300 WIN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +6 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -25.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -16.2 (-10.2) | 155.2 (+22.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -19.9 (-13.9) | 155.4 (+22.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -25.4 (-19.4) | 154.5 (+23.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -28.2 (-22.2) | 153.5 (+24.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#15) | -3.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#57) | -0.96 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#53) | -1.64 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#30) | 0.382 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 4.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 43.4% | 13.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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