Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +19 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -3.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -1.2 (-17.8) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -2.0 (-17.0) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -1.9 (-17.1) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -1.6 (-17.4) | 148.5 (+2.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | SCU 69 – 52 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#115) | 7.0 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#95) | 1.78 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#102) | 2.73 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#82) | 0.593 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 53.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 48.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 60.6% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 43.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.4% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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