Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -195 SCU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +17 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -5.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -4.4 (-21.4) | 141.3 (-20.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -4.4 (-21.4) | 141.8 (-20.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -4.6 (-21.6) | 143.9 (-22.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.3 (-22.3) | 142.8 (-21.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | SCU 85 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#73) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#108) | -0.70 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#109) | -0.91 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#113) | 0.519 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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