Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | UNH -175 QUIN +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -19.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -9.7 (+5.3) | 139.8 (+13.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -11.0 (+4.0) | 142.2 (+10.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -11.8 (+3.2) | 141.5 (+11.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -10.8 (+4.2) | 141.6 (+11.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | QUIN 64 – 58 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#103) | -7.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#192) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#182) | -0.60 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#80) | 0.431 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 11.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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