Kent State
Golden Flashes
77
–
69
FINAL
Neutral
Naples Invitational
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -6.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -5.4 (+2.6) | 134.7 (+11.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -3.2 (+4.8) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -2.6 (+5.4) | 135.2 (+10.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -1.9 (+6.1) | 136.8 (+9.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | -3.6 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#15) | -1.01 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.45 (#15) | -1.85 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.836 (#1) | 0.446 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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