Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -1450 COFC +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +30 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -15.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -17.7 (+12.3) | 151.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -15.0 (+15.0) | 152.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -15.7 (+14.3) | 151.5 (+10.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -15.9 (+14.1) | 154.3 (+7.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#52) | 0.0 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#65) | -0.73 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#42) | -1.35 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#100) | 0.473 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 48.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 16.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.0% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 81.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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